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A forecasting model that handles training & competency end to end and hands a human the exceptions rather than the queue. Aimed at security services schedulers, proving value before anyone signs anything.
In short: Competency Tracker for Security services, Run by Forecasting is a forecasting model aimed at security services schedulers, covering training & competency. It scores 76/100 on AltF Ideas, carried by moat (94) and held back by feasibility (30). Typical pricing is $4.0k–$84k per customer per year, with a first version reachable in six to twelve months for $37k–$95k.
Security services teams lose certifications that expire before anyone notices. It is the kind of task that is too small to fund and too costly to ignore. It scales linearly with headcount, so growth makes it worse rather than better.
A narrow forecasting model scoped to training & competency alone — no platform, no migration, no six-month rollout. Revenue is per-outcome, which suits a buyer who wants the cost to track the value rather than the seat count.
| Total addressable market | $385M |
|---|---|
| Category growth (CAGR) | 12% |
| Annual contract value | $4.0k – $84k |
| Pricing model | Per-outcome |
| Time to first revenue | 78 days |
| Startup cost to MVP | $37k – $95k |
| Build effort | 6-12 months |
Forecasting that used to need a data team now runs on off-the-shelf models. Security services is growing at roughly 15% a year, and this job has not been re-tooled since it was designed around paper.
| Who | The gap |
|---|---|
| An offshore back office | Cheaper per hour, but does not scale down to the tail |
| A spreadsheet | The real incumbent in most of the market, and it is free |
| An internal hire | Works until volume doubles, then breaks again |
The data you need lives on paper in a back office; digitisation is half the product.
An idea you cannot act on is entertainment. Four concrete steps, wired to tools already running on AltFTool.
Score problem urgency, willingness to pay, and reachable audience size before writing any code.
→ AltF IdeaLabAsk how they handle this today and what it costs them. If nobody can quantify the pain, the demand score is optimistic.
→ Survey BuilderCheck availability, DNS, and email authentication in one pass so your first outreach lands in an inbox.
→ AltF DomainOpsStand up intake, the review queue, and billing before you build the clever part.
→ AltF Flow